ETF Swing Signals

How to read exit signals: ETFs drift up over time, so almost every “get out now” signal loses you money on average — after most sell signals the price actually rises. That’s why the chips show a plain-English verdict: STEP OUT means the price historically fell ≥5% on average after the signal (rare, and mostly on young hyper-volatile ETFs like 3067.HK / 2807.HK); HOLD means history says stepping out would have hurt. A “win” on the exit side means the price fell; a 48% win rate means it fell in fewer than half of cases — i.e. not a signal worth acting on. The first table is the true mirror of the buy leaderboard (average return of the short, positive = price fell); the second is the drop-odds lens (probability of a ≥7% dip vs normal), useful for trimming decisions.